Piteåvs
IF Karlstad
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Norra · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Piteå · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Piteå 1-1 IF Karlstad
Original prediction
Piteå
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.58 | 19.8% | 37.3% | 17.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.3% | 26.3% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 1.59 | 57.0% | 36.4% | -20.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.89 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Piteå
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Piteå has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PiteåWWLLW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
IF KarlstadDDDLL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
PiteåIF Karlstad
44.4Attack16.7
66.7Defence66.7
44.4Form16.7
51.4Power36.5
1.62xG1.14