GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/19/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while AD Carmelita are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

39.8%

Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pitbulls Santa Barbara FCDDDLL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AD CarmelitaDDDLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FCAD Carmelita
33.3Attack66.7
66.7Defence33.3
33.3Form33.3
48.3Power45.3
1.53xG1.29
View match centre →