Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pistoiese · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pistoiese 1-0 Pavia
Original prediction
Pistoiese
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 October 2026 at 02:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Pistoiese
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Pistoiese has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PistoieseWLDWW
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
PaviaDLLLW
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
PistoiesePavia
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24