Pisa U19vs
Spezia U19
COMPLETEDItaly · Campionato Primavera - 2 · 9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pisa U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pisa U19 0-3 Spezia U19
Original prediction
Pisa U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.8% | 47.0% | 0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 24.9% | 25.3% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.21 | 28.3% | 27.7% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Pisa U19
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Pisa U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60