Pisa U19vs
Ascoli U19
COMPLETEDItaly · Campionato Primavera - 2 · 10/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pisa U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pisa U19 4-1 Ascoli U19
Original prediction
Pisa U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.4% | 43.5% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.6% | 25.1% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.02 | 30.0% | 31.4% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Pisa U19
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Pisa U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80