Pirin Blagoevgradvs
Ludogorets II
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 9/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ludogorets II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-1 Ludogorets II, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-3 Ludogorets II
Original prediction
Ludogorets II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.88 | 18.5% | 22.5% | 4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.4% | 27.8% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 1.58 | 57.1% | 49.7% | -7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.4 pts
Projected Score
Pirin Blagoevgrad 0–1 Ludogorets II
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Ludogorets II
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Ludogorets II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 16 · avg 0.40/3.20
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40