Pirin Blagoevgradvs
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 8/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-3 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Original prediction
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.00 | 22.7% | 24.3% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.3% | 27.8% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 1.74 | 52.0% | 47.9% | -4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.1 pts
Projected Score
Pirin Blagoevgrad 0–1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 19 · avg 0.60/3.80
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80