GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · First League · 7/29/2023, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Botev Plovdiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Pirin Blagoevgrad are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Botev Plovdiv are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Botev Plovdiv hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (39.3 v 49.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the First League, while Botev Plovdiv holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Botev Plovdiv

Probability

42.0%

Model confidence

42.0%

Botev Plovdiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pirin BlagoevgradLLWLW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Botev PlovdivLDWWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Pirin BlagoevgradBotev Plovdiv
24.8Attack46.7
54.3Defence46.7
30.5Form46.7
39.3Power49.7
0.76xG1.19
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