Pirin Blagoevgradvs
Beroe
COMPLETEDBulgaria · First League · 7/14/2023, 3:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Pirin Blagoevgrad are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Beroe are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Beroe hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (39.3 v 43.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the First League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20