Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pirae · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Pirae are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Dragon are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 2 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Pirae hold a 50.6-point power-rating edge (71.1 v 20.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.8% in the OFC Champions League, while Pirae holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pirae
Probability
71.8%
Model confidence
71.8%
Pirae has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00
GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00