GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 8/20/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pipinsried · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Pipinsried are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Erlbach are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Pipinsried hold a 31.1-point power-rating edge (89.8 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.8% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Pipinsried holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pipinsried

Probability

55.8%

Model confidence

55.8%

Pipinsried has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PipinsriedDDDWW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ErlbachDWWWW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PipinsriedErlbach
100.0Attack46.7
73.3Defence73.3
100.0Form53.3
89.8Power58.6
1.93xG0.97
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