Pioneros de Cancúnvs
Montañeses
COMPLETEDMexico · Primera Premier · 10/3/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pioneros de Cancún · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pioneros de Cancún 2-1 Montañeses
Original prediction
Pioneros de Cancún
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 46.1% | 49.9% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.0% | 24.1% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.14 | 28.9% | 26.0% | -2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.97 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Pioneros de Cancún
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Pioneros de Cancún has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00