Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pinheiros 1-4 Tupy
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5-unified-score-distribution.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
23.4%
Model confidence
10.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PinheirosLWWLD
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TupyDLWDW
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PinheirosTupy
38.1Attack58.3
33.3Defence50.0
38.1Form41.7
39.0Power49.5
1.40xG2.08