Capixaba BCapixaba B
Friday, 17 July 202619:00Last updated 10:13
Pinheiros

Pinheiros

Home
L
01
Full time
Sport Brasil ES

Sport Brasil ES

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
42% confidence
Sport Brasil ES(29%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction correct— Result: Sport Brasil ES
Win probability
Pinheiros
42%
Draw
29%
Sport Brasil ES
29%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Pinheiros
9
Sport Brasil ES
34
Defence
Pinheiros
66
Sport Brasil ES
91
Momentum
Pinheiros
0
Sport Brasil ES
100
Danger (xG)
Pinheiros
0.00
Sport Brasil ES
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Pinheiros)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Sport Brasil ES)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Pinheiros)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Sport Brasil ES)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
PinheirosPinheiros
L
Sport Brasil ESSport Brasil ES
W

Probability breakdown

42% confidence
Pinheiros42%
Draw29%
Sport Brasil ES29%

Pinheiros leads with 42% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Pinheiros head into this in Capixaba B fixture in mixed form (L), while Sport Brasil ES arrive in mixed form (W). Pinheiros have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Sport Brasil ES over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Pinheiros (66/100) and Sport Brasil ES (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Pinheiros have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Sport Brasil ES have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

Sport Brasil ES have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Sport Brasil ES to win with 42% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Pinheiros 4240%, Draw 2900%, Sport Brasil ES 2860%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Pinheiros 0Draws 01 Sport Brasil ES
Avg goals: 1.0
17 Jul 2026
Pinheiros
L01
Sport Brasil ES

Recent form

Pinheiros

Pinheiros

L
vs Sport Brasil ES
17 Jul 2026
01
Sport Brasil ES

Sport Brasil ES

W
@ Pinheiros
17 Jul 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Pinheiros vs Sport Brasil ES?

GoalVio's model predicts Sport Brasil ES to win with 42% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Pinheiros vs Sport Brasil ES?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Pinheiros vs Sport Brasil ES?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Pinheiros vs Sport Brasil ES?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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