Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pineto · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Pineto are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Lucchese are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Pineto hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the Serie C - Girone B, while Pineto holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pineto
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Pineto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00