GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/4/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unia Skierniewice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-4

Highconfidence

Pilica Białobrzegi are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Unia Skierniewice are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Skierniewice hold a 39.6-point power-rating edge (24.0 v 63.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.9% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Unia Skierniewice holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unia Skierniewice

Probability

86.9%

Model confidence

86.9%

Unia Skierniewice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pilica BiałobrzegiWLDLL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Unia SkierniewiceDWWWL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Pilica BiałobrzegiUnia Skierniewice
29.4Attack76.5
12.7Defence54.9
18.6Form63.7
24.0Power63.6
0.77xG4.04
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