GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 4/20/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pelikan Łowicz · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Pilica Białobrzegi are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Pelikan Łowicz are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Pelikan Łowicz hold a 29.8-point power-rating edge (24.0 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.9% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pelikan Łowicz holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pelikan Łowicz

Probability

74.9%

Model confidence

74.9%

Pelikan Łowicz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pilica BiałobrzegiLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Pelikan ŁowiczLDWWD

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Pilica BiałobrzegiPelikan Łowicz
29.4Attack51.0
12.7Defence60.8
18.6Form51.0
24.0Power53.7
0.69xG2.62
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