GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/14/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mławianka Mława · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Pilica Białobrzegi are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Mławianka Mława are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Mławianka Mława hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (24.0 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.0% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Mławianka Mława holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mławianka Mława

Probability

58.0%

Model confidence

58.0%

Mławianka Mława has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pilica BiałobrzegiLLLDL

GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Mławianka MławaLLDWL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Pilica BiałobrzegiMławianka Mława
29.4Attack39.2
12.7Defence50.0
18.6Form38.2
24.0Power43.7
0.91xG1.95
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