GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 3/23/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jagiellonia II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Pilica Białobrzegi are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Jagiellonia II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Jagiellonia II hold a 22.9-point power-rating edge (24.0 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.4% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Jagiellonia II holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jagiellonia II

Probability

65.4%

Model confidence

65.4%

Jagiellonia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pilica BiałobrzegiWDLDL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Jagiellonia IIWWWLL

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Pilica BiałobrzegiJagiellonia II
29.4Attack48.0
12.7Defence46.1
18.6Form44.1
24.0Power46.8
0.97xG2.42
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