Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PIF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
PIF are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 3.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while P-Iirot are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and PIF hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.8% in the Suomen Cup, while PIF holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PIF
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
8.8%
PIF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 4 · avg 3.80/0.80
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40