Pietà Hotspursvs
Vittoriosa Stars
COMPLETEDMalta · Challenge League · 10/25/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pietà Hotspurs · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pietà Hotspurs 2-0 Vittoriosa Stars
Original prediction
Pietà Hotspurs
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 55.2% | 44.8% | -10.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.5% | 25.7% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 4.47 | 20.3% | 29.6% | 9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Pietà Hotspurs
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Pietà Hotspurs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40