Pietà Hotspursvs
Tarxien Rainbows
COMPLETEDMalta · Challenge League · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tarxien Rainbows · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pietà Hotspurs 1-3 Tarxien Rainbows
Original prediction
Tarxien Rainbows
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.75 | 32.9% | 31.9% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.7% | 25.7% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.19 | 41.4% | 42.4% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Tarxien Rainbows
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Tarxien Rainbows has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40