Piast Gliwicevs
Wisla Krakow
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 10/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Piast Gliwice · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Piast Gliwice 3-4 Wisla Krakow
Original prediction
Piast Gliwice
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 09:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 39.0% | 47.0% | 8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 25.0% | 26.3% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 36.0% | 26.6% | -9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Piast Gliwice
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Piast Gliwice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80