Piast Gliwicevs
Widzew Łódź
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 10/11/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Piast Gliwice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Piast Gliwice 2-1 Widzew Łódź
Original prediction
Piast Gliwice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.60 | 35.4% | 44.5% | 9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.9% | 23.3% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 37.7% | 32.3% | -5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Piast Gliwice
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Piast Gliwice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20