Piast Gliwicevs
GKS Katowice
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 9/4/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Piast Gliwice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Piast Gliwice 3-0 GKS Katowice
Original prediction
Piast Gliwice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 39.6% | 37.6% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.5% | 26.7% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 33.9% | 35.8% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Piast Gliwice
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Piast Gliwice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20