Piast Gliwicevs
Cracovia Krakow
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 10/24/2026, 10:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Piast Gliwice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Piast Gliwice 3-1 Cracovia Krakow
Original prediction
Piast Gliwice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 37.5% | 51.8% | 14.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 27.1% | 22.7% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 35.4% | 25.5% | -9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Piast Gliwice
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Piast Gliwice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20