Pianesevs
Sambenedettese
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone B · 9/21/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pianese · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Pianese 0-0 Sambenedettese, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Pianese 1-1 Sambenedettese
Original prediction
Pianese
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.26 | 39.7% | 43.0% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.90 | 31.0% | 31.5% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.06 | 29.3% | 25.5% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.90 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Projected Score
Pianese 0–0 Sambenedettese
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Pianese
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Pianese has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PianeseLDLDL
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
SambenedetteseLLLDL
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
PianeseSambenedettese
42.1Attack27.8
57.9Defence65.7
46.5Form34.3
50.5Power45.0
0.94xG0.63