Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ravenna · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Pianese 0-0 Ravenna, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Pianese 2-1 Ravenna
Original prediction
Ravenna
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.48 | 20.3% | 26.6% | 6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.3% | 29.8% | 4.5 pts |
| Away | 1.68 | 54.4% | 43.6% | -10.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.7 pts
Projected Score
Pianese 0–0 Ravenna
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Ravenna
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Ravenna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PianeseLDLDL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
RavennaWWWWD
GF 8 · GA 0 · avg 1.60/0.00
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
PianeseRavenna
42.1Attack46.3
57.9Defence72.2
46.5Form67.6
50.5Power64.0
0.72xG1.11