Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Pianese are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Perugia are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.5 against 48.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Serie C - Girone B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00