Phrae Unitedvs
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 10/17/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Phrae United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Phrae United 0-1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Original prediction
Phrae United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 42.5% | 45.3% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.7% | 26.8% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.12 | 28.9% | 28.0% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Phrae United
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Phrae United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60