Phrae Unitedvs
Nakhon Pathom
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 9/13/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Phrae United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Phrae United 0-0 Nakhon Pathom
Original prediction
Phrae United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 43.4% | 36.5% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.09 | 29.2% | 28.2% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.29 | 27.4% | 35.4% | 7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.09 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Phrae United
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Phrae United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20