Phrae Unitedvs
Kanchanaburi
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 10/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kanchanaburi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Phrae United 2-1 Kanchanaburi
Original prediction
Kanchanaburi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.05 | 29.6% | 32.1% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.8% | 30.1% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.17 | 41.6% | 37.8% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Kanchanaburi
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Kanchanaburi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00