Phoenix Risingvs
San Antonio
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 5/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Antonio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Phoenix Rising are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while San Antonio are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Antonio hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (46.4 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the USL Championship, while San Antonio holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Antonio
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
14.7%
San Antonio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40