GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/22/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Phoenix Rising · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Phoenix Rising are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Oakland Roots are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.4 against 45.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the USL Championship, while Phoenix Rising holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Phoenix Rising

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Phoenix Rising has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Phoenix RisingDLLLW

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Oakland RootsWWWDD

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Phoenix RisingOakland Roots
42.1Attack41.7
54.4Defence51.7
38.6Form36.7
46.4Power45.9
1.31xG1.04
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