USL ChampionshipUSL Championship
Thursday, 11 June 2026Last updated 10:12
Phoenix Rising

Phoenix Rising

Home
L
02
Full time
Louisville City

Louisville City

Away
W
Wild Horse Pass Stadium
GoalVio prediction
45% confidence
Phoenix Rising
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Louisville City
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Phoenix Rising
9
Louisville City
73
Defence
Phoenix Rising
27
Louisville City
91
Momentum
Phoenix Rising
0
Louisville City
100
Danger (xG)
Phoenix Rising
0.00
Louisville City
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Phoenix Rising)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Louisville City)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Phoenix Rising)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Louisville City)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising
L
Louisville CityLouisville City
W

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Analysis

Match insights

Phoenix Rising head into this in USL Championship fixture at Wild Horse Pass Stadium in mixed form (L), while Louisville City arrive in mixed form (W). Phoenix Rising have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Louisville City over 1 games.

Tactically, Louisville City hold the edge. Their strong attack (73/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Phoenix Rising defence (27/100), while Phoenix Rising's attack faces a watertight Louisville City backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Phoenix Rising have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Louisville City have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

Louisville City have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Phoenix Rising to win with 45% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Phoenix Rising 0Draws 01 Louisville City
Avg goals: 2.0
11 Jun 2026
Phoenix Rising
L02
Louisville City

Recent form

Phoenix Rising

Phoenix Rising

L
vs Louisville City
11 Jun 2026
02
Louisville City

Louisville City

W
@ Phoenix Rising
11 Jun 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Phoenix Rising vs Louisville City?

GoalVio's model predicts Phoenix Rising to win with 45% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Phoenix Rising vs Louisville City?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Phoenix Rising vs Louisville City?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Phoenix Rising vs Louisville City?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more