Phoenix Risingvs
Colorado Springs
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One Cup · 4/26/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colorado Springs · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Phoenix Rising are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Colorado Springs are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Colorado Springs hold a 50.7-point power-rating edge (31.0 v 81.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the USL League One Cup, while Colorado Springs holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Colorado Springs
Probability
65.7%
Model confidence
11.9%
Colorado Springs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60