GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One Cup · 4/26/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Colorado Springs · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Mediumconfidence

Phoenix Rising are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Colorado Springs are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Colorado Springs hold a 50.7-point power-rating edge (31.0 v 81.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the USL League One Cup, while Colorado Springs holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Colorado Springs

Probability

65.7%

Model confidence

11.9%

Colorado Springs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Phoenix RisingWWLDD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Colorado SpringsWDLLW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Phoenix RisingColorado Springs
25.0Attack73.3
33.3Defence86.7
25.0Form86.7
31.0Power81.7
0.84xG2.15
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