Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pho Hien · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pho Hien 2-1 Long An
Original prediction
Pho Hien
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.17 | 77.3% | 63.0% | -14.3 pts |
| Draw | 5.70 | 15.8% | 21.1% | 5.3 pts |
| Away | 13.14 | 6.9% | 15.8% | 9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Pho Hien
Probability
63.0%
Model confidence
63.0%
Pho Hien has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Pho HienDWWDL
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Long AnDLLLD
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Pho HienLong An
55.6Attack59.3
74.1Defence55.6
68.5Form57.4
66.8Power58.7
1.63xG0.82