GGOALVIO

Cambodia · C-League · 8/30/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Phnom Penh Crown · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Phnom Penh Crown are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while National Defense are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Phnom Penh Crown hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (72.2 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.2% in the C-League, while Phnom Penh Crown holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Phnom Penh Crown

Probability

65.2%

Model confidence

65.2%

Phnom Penh Crown has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Phnom Penh CrownWWWLW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
National DefenseWDLLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Phnom Penh CrownNational Defense
76.7Attack56.8
63.3Defence51.9
75.6Form48.1
72.2Power52.7
2.59xG1.10
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