GGOALVIO

Cambodia · C-League · 10/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Phnom Penh Crown · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Phnom Penh Crown 1-1 Life Sihanoukville

Original prediction

Phnom Penh Crown

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.1281.1%54.8%-26.4 pts
Draw7.6811.8%21.7%9.9 pts
Away12.877.0%23.5%16.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 6.68 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-26.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.2–27%

Predicted outcome

Phnom Penh Crown

Probability

54.8%

Model confidence

54.8%

Phnom Penh Crown has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Phnom Penh CrownWWDDW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Life SihanoukvilleLLWWL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Phnom Penh CrownLife Sihanoukville
66.7Attack0.0
33.3Defence50.0
33.3Form0.0
48.3Power21.5
2.15xG1.44
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