Phnom Penh Crownvs
Kuching FA
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Two · 9/17/2026, 12:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Phnom Penh Crown · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Phnom Penh Crown 2-1 Kuching FA
Original prediction
Phnom Penh Crown
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 07:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.69 | 33.5% | 45.2% | 11.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.5% | 25.9% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 38.0% | 28.9% | -9.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Phnom Penh Crown
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Phnom Penh Crown has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40