Phönix Lübeckvs
Eintracht Norderstedt
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nord · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Phönix Lübeck · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (10%), 4-0 (9%), 5-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Phönix Lübeck 4-1 Eintracht Norderstedt
Original prediction
Phönix Lübeck
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 64.7% | 73.5% | 8.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.64 | 19.6% | 14.5% | -5.1 pts |
| Away | 5.79 | 15.7% | 11.9% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–110%
- 2.4–09%
- 3.5–19%
Predicted outcome
Phönix Lübeck
Probability
73.5%
Model confidence
73.5%
Phönix Lübeck has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 5 · avg 3.60/1.00
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80