Philippinesvs
Thailand
COMPLETEDWorld · ASEAN Championship · 12/27/2024, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Thailand · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Philippines are 1W-3D-0L in their last 4 (WDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.75 conceded, while Thailand are 4W-0D-0L in their last 4 (WWWW), averaging 4.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Thailand hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 65.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.2% in the ASEAN Championship, while Thailand holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Thailand
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
48.2%
Thailand has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.75
GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 4.50/1.00