Philippinesvs
Pakistan
COMPLETEDWorld · FIFA Asean Cup · 9/29/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Philippines · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Philippines 2-2 Pakistan
Original prediction
Philippines
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.18 | 76.9% | 50.0% | -26.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.91 | 15.4% | 25.4% | 10.0 pts |
| Away | 11.74 | 7.7% | 24.6% | 16.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.91 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-26.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Philippines
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
Philippines has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80