Philippines U23vs
Vietnam U23
COMPLETEDWorld · Asian Games · 9/18/2026, 6:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vietnam U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Philippines U23 0-2 Vietnam U23
Original prediction
Vietnam U23
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.32 | 9.7% | 32.6% | 22.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.19 | 17.4% | 23.7% | 6.3 pts |
| Away | 1.24 | 72.9% | 43.7% | -29.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-29.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Vietnam U23
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Vietnam U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40