GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Philadelphia Union · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Philadelphia Union are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Philadelphia Union hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (68.7 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Philadelphia Union holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Philadelphia Union

Probability

66.0%

Model confidence

9.3%

Philadelphia Union has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Philadelphia UnionWLDLW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Tampa Bay RowdiesDDDWL

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Philadelphia UnionTampa Bay Rowdies
75.0Attack55.6
58.3Defence44.4
70.8Form33.3
68.7Power45.5
2.71xG1.24
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