Philadelphia Unionvs
San Jose Earthquakes
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 3/8/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Jose Earthquakes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Philadelphia Union are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while San Jose Earthquakes are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes hold an 18.0-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.6% in the Major League Soccer, while San Jose Earthquakes holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Jose Earthquakes
Probability
56.6%
Model confidence
56.6%
San Jose Earthquakes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40