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Philadelphia Union
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Philadelphia Union leads with 50% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
Philadelphia Union head into this in Major League Soccer fixture at Subaru Park in mixed form (DL), while New York Red Bulls arrive in mixed form (W). Philadelphia Union have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for New York Red Bulls over 1 games.
Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Philadelphia Union (73/100) and New York Red Bulls (73/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.
Philadelphia Union have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. New York Red Bulls have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.
New York Red Bulls have generated 0.88 xG per game recently while conceding 1.69 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.
There is no head-to-head data between Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls in the engine.
The GoalVio engine projects Philadelphia Union to win with 50% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Philadelphia Union 5018%, Draw 2290%, New York Red Bulls 2692%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.
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Frequently asked questions
Who will win Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls?
GoalVio's model predicts Philadelphia Union to win with 50% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.
Will both teams score in Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.