Philadelphia Unionvs
New York City FC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 3/1/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New York City FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Philadelphia Union are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while New York City FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and New York City FC hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 54.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.7% in the Major League Soccer, while New York City FC holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New York City FC
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
10.7%
New York City FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20