GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 8/19/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Inter Miami · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Lowconfidence

Philadelphia Union are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Inter Miami are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Inter Miami hold a 25.7-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 66.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.9% in the Major League Soccer, while Inter Miami holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Inter Miami

Probability

62.5%

Model confidence

7.9%

Inter Miami has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Philadelphia UnionWLWWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Inter MiamiLWDWW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Philadelphia UnionInter Miami
46.3Attack83.3
38.9Defence40.7
29.6Form70.4
40.9Power66.6
1.64xG3.04
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