Philadelphia Unionvs
DC United
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 4/18/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
DC United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Philadelphia Union are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while DC United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and DC United hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 48.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the Major League Soccer, while DC United holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
DC United
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
DC United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60