GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/18/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

DC United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Philadelphia Union are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while DC United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and DC United hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 48.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the Major League Soccer, while DC United holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

DC United

Probability

37.4%

Model confidence

37.4%

DC United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Philadelphia UnionWLLLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
DC UnitedLLDWL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Philadelphia UnionDC United
46.3Attack48.1
38.9Defence46.3
29.6Form42.6
40.9Power48.0
1.57xG1.67
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